Skip to main content

Darrisman's

Helping Corporates Navigate External Risk & Macro Uncertainty

Search This Blog

Home
Stock Picks
Economic Data Released
Commodities

Fundamental Weekend
Sector Analysis
Trading Tips
Technical Analysis
Crypto
Market Thoughts

Posts

Total Pageviews

53.3 Manufacturing PMI and a $40 Billion Backlog: Are the Early Signs of a New Industrial Cycle Emerging?

on July 01, 2026

Business Insight Corporate Macro Lens Corporate Strategy Economic Data Released EconomicTrends Fundamental Weekend MarketAnalysis Morning Briefing Sector Analysis

+

Get link
Facebook
X
Pinterest
Email
Other Apps

Custom Market Research Services

Click here to explore custom market research services & pricing

Strait of Hormuz: No Bombs, No Battles — Yet Markets Are Moving, It’s Market Engineering

on April 23, 2026

commodities Financial Market Geopoltic Gold Key Market Trends Market Thoughts MarketAnalysis Morning Briefing Oil Precious Metals

+

Get link
Facebook
X
Pinterest
Email
Other Apps

BREAKING ! Trump Extends Iran Ceasefire: Why Gold Suddenly Reversed and What It Means for DXY and Oil.

on April 21, 2026

commodities EconomicTrends Geopoltic Gold Headline News Key Market Trends Morning Briefing News Oil Trump

+

Get link
Facebook
X
Pinterest
Email
Other Apps

Low-Capital B2B Opportunities from Indonesia: Hidden Products Global Buyers Can Start Today

on April 21, 2026

Business Insight Indonesia News

+

Get link
Facebook
X
Pinterest
Email
Other Apps

Why Gold Is Falling Despite War: The Real Link Between DXY, Oil, and the Fed

on April 20, 2026

commodities DXY EconomicTrends Financial Market Fundamental Analysis Geopoltic Gold Inflation Interest Rates Key Market Trends MarketAnalysis Morning Briefing Oil

+

Get link
Facebook
X
Pinterest
Email
Other Apps

US and Iran Move Toward Peace—But an “Evil” Disruption Emerges from Israel

on April 08, 2026

EconomicTrends Geopoltic Headline News Key Market Trends Market Thoughts News Oil Precious Metals

+

Get link
Facebook
X
Pinterest
Email
Other Apps

Will War End When Oil Becomes Overbought? A New Theory Linking Markets and Geopolitics

on April 06, 2026

commodities EconomicTrends Fundamental Analysis Inflation Key Market Trends Macroeconomic Market Thoughts MarketAnalysis Oil

+

Get link
Facebook
X
Pinterest
Email
Other Apps

Popular Post

Tracking Retail Sentiment: How Consumer Confidence Shapes Stock Performance of Target, Ross, and Best Buy

Examining the Relationship Between Retail Stock Performance and Consumer Sentiment Research Focus This article explores whether a meaningful relationship exists between U.S. retail stock prices and shifts in consumer sentiment. The focus is on three major retail companies—Target (TGT), Ross Stores (ROST), and Best Buy (BBY)—over the period from early 2023 to April 2025. The aim is to determine if these stock price movements have aligned with consumer confidence trends during the same timeframe. By studying both market behavior and sentiment dynamics, this analysis contributes to a deeper understanding of how investor perception and consumer mood can potentially move in tandem—or diverge—within the retail sector. Understanding the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Before diving into the comparison, it's important to understand the metric at the center of this analysis. The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index , published monthly by the University of Michigan, reflects the public's ...

Cash is King: The Historic Correlation of DXY, Yields, Gold, and Stocks Since 2005

Cash is King: Understanding the Market’s Flight to the U.S. Dollar in 2025 In financial markets, trends fluctuate, but one principle remains constant—liquidity is paramount. When uncertainty rises and risk appetite declines, investors seek the safest asset available. The current market reflects this reality: the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is the only asset in positive territory, while stocks, gold, oil, and even Bitcoin are in decline . This pattern is not new. Historically, the DXY has maintained an inverse correlation with risk assets , a relationship evident since at least 2005. The key question is: Why does the dollar outperform during market stress, and what does this indicate about the broader economic environment? The Historical Correlation Between the DXY and Major Asset Classes Since 2005, the DXY has exhibited a well-defined pattern—when the dollar strengthens, equities, commodities, and even yields tend to decline. This inverse relationship stems from multiple factors, incl...

Airline Stocks vs Oil Prices: Tracking the Correlation Since 2008 (DAL, LUV, AAL)

The Correlation Between U.S. Airline Stocks and Crude Oil Prices (2008–2025): A Long-Term Analysis How Oil Prices Impact Airline Performance The airline industry is known for its sensitivity to fluctuations in fuel prices. With jet fuel expenses comprising a significant portion of total operating costs—often as high as 30%—any movement in crude oil prices can directly affect an airline’s bottom line. Over the past two decades, the volatility in oil markets and the evolving airline business models have added layers of complexity to this relationship. This article provides a detailed, long-term correlation analysis between three of the largest U.S. airline stocks— Delta Air Lines (DAL) , Southwest Airlines (LUV) , and American Airlines (AAL) —and WTI crude oil (USOIL) prices, using weekly data from 2008 to 2025. The goal is to uncover how these airline stocks have historically reacted to oil price fluctuations and what this could mean for future trends. Indexing the Data: Est...

Labels

AAPL
AI
Asia Market
Bitcoin
Business Insight
commodities
Corporate Macro Lens
Corporate Strategy
Crypto
DXY

Show more Show less

Darrisman's: Macro Intelligence & External Risk Interpretation Welcome to Darrisman Research. We provide institutional-style analysis focused on macroeconomic conditions, external risk developments, and their implications for corporate strategy, valuation, and business environments in Indonesia. Our approach emphasizes structured interpretation over speculation, helping decision-makers better understand cost pressures, liquidity conditions, inflation, FX risks, and evolving global dynamics.

Archive

July 20261
June 20267
May 202616
April 202614
March 202614
November 20251
October 202517
September 202514
July 20252
June 20258

May 20256
April 202546
March 202534
February 202520

Show more Show less

Report Abuse

Best-Selling Trading Books – Highly Recommended for Traders!

Pages

Home
Privacy Policy
About Us
Disclaimer
Terms & Conditions
Contact Us

Powered by Blogger