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Showing posts from May, 2025

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Bitcoin Technical Analysis for Swing Traders: Key Support Levels Under Stagflation Risks

on September 21, 2025

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TO DA MOOOON! Dogecoin, Ethereum, and XRP Spark Crypto Frenzy

on May 10, 2025

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How Fed Interest Rate Cuts Can Reduce Unemployment Rates

on May 07, 2025

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Countdown to the FOMC: How the Fed Could Surprise Investors Later Today

on May 07, 2025

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ROST, COKE, UNH – Mixed Signals Ahead of FOMC: What the Charts Say

on May 05, 2025

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Wage Growth Slows, Payrolls Beat Expectations: What It Means for The Fed’s Policy

on May 02, 2025

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Markets Cheer Dovish Fed Outlook After Weak Jobless and ISM Data

on May 01, 2025

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Airline Stocks vs Oil Prices: Tracking the Correlation Since 2008 (DAL, LUV, AAL)

The Correlation Between U.S. Airline Stocks and Crude Oil Prices (2008–2025): A Long-Term Analysis How Oil Prices Impact Airline Performance The airline industry is known for its sensitivity to fluctuations in fuel prices. With jet fuel expenses comprising a significant portion of total operating costs—often as high as 30%—any movement in crude oil prices can directly affect an airline’s bottom line. Over the past two decades, the volatility in oil markets and the evolving airline business models have added layers of complexity to this relationship. This article provides a detailed, long-term correlation analysis between three of the largest U.S. airline stocks— Delta Air Lines (DAL) , Southwest Airlines (LUV) , and American Airlines (AAL) —and WTI crude oil (USOIL) prices, using weekly data from 2008 to 2025. The goal is to uncover how these airline stocks have historically reacted to oil price fluctuations and what this could mean for future trends. Indexing the Data: Est...

Trump's Tariff Revival: What the 2025 Moves Could Mean for the Global Economy

On July 11, 2025, former President Donald Trump, now a leading figure in the U.S. political landscape once again, introduced a bold and controversial set of tariff policies. These measures are a continuation of his protectionist stance that shaped much of global trade during his previous administration. With new tariffs targeting key trade partners like Canada, the European Union, and Brazil, the economic ripple effects are expected to be significant, if not immediate. ** The Tariff Breakdown Canada – 35% Tariff Effective August 1 Trump has raised tariffs on Canadian imports from 25% to 35% , effective August 1, 2025. This escalation is framed as a response to alleged misuse of USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) exemptions, although some sources suggest it may also be tied to drug policy concerns related to fentanyl trafficking. Global Blanket Tariffs – 15–20% Trump has signaled the implementation of blanket tariffs in the range of 15% to 20% on goods from c...

How Fed Interest Rate Cuts Can Reduce Unemployment Rates

Understanding the Fed's Policy Impact on Jobs When the Federal Reserve (the Fed) lowers interest rates, it activates a direct and predictable economic response: the unemployment rate tends to fall. This relationship is rooted in one fundamental principle — lower borrowing costs lead to increased investment and hiring. In this article, we will stick to this one core theory and break down how Fed rate cuts reduce unemployment, without digressing into inflation, dual mandates, or risk trade-offs. Our focus is clear: Fed cuts lead to job creation . 1. Cheaper Borrowing for Businesses When the Fed cuts the federal funds rate, it becomes cheaper for businesses to borrow money. Lower interest payments reduce the cost of financing expansions, equipment purchases, or new ventures. This encourages companies of all sizes to take out loans and invest in their operations. More investment means more projects. More projects require more people. The result? More jobs are created , and the unemploy...

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