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Showing posts from April, 2025

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Trump's Tariff Revival: What the 2025 Moves Could Mean for the Global Economy

on July 11, 2025

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U.S. GDP Contraction, Cooling Inflation, and the Fed's Path Forward: What the Data Means for Future Policy

on April 30, 2025

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China Manufacturing PMI Dip: Impact on Global Trade and Energy Outlook

on April 29, 2025

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Fed Faces Dovish Pressure as Job Openings and Confidence Slide | Rate Cut Expectations Rise on Weak U.S. Data

on April 29, 2025

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Nasdaq 100 at Overbought Extremes: Trap Ahead or Rally Just Beginning?

on April 28, 2025

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5 Swing Trading Stock Picks: Best Opportunities for April 28 – May 16, 2025

on April 27, 2025

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Earn Like the Pros: Our April 15–26, 2025 Stock Picks Delivered 24.5% Top Gain!

on April 26, 2025

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April Michigan Data Shows Weak Sentiment, Sticky Inflation, and a Cautious Fed

on April 25, 2025

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Trump's Tariff Revival: What the 2025 Moves Could Mean for the Global Economy

On July 11, 2025, former President Donald Trump, now a leading figure in the U.S. political landscape once again, introduced a bold and controversial set of tariff policies. These measures are a continuation of his protectionist stance that shaped much of global trade during his previous administration. With new tariffs targeting key trade partners like Canada, the European Union, and Brazil, the economic ripple effects are expected to be significant—if not immediate. ** The Tariff Breakdown Canada – 35% Tariff Effective August 1 Trump has raised tariffs on Canadian imports from 25% to 35% , effective August 1, 2025. This escalation is framed as a response to alleged misuse of USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) exemptions, although some sources suggest it may also be tied to drug policy concerns related to fentanyl trafficking. Global Blanket Tariffs – 15–20% Trump has signaled the implementation of blanket tariffs in the range of 15% to 20% on goods from co...

Strong U.S. Jobs Data May Delay Fed Rate Cuts (NFP, Unemployment Rates)

The U.S. labor market showed surprising strength in June 2025, according to the latest Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report released on July 3. The report revealed that the U.S. economy added 147,000 new jobs during the month, beating economists' expectations of around 110,000. This positive jobs report, along with a drop in the unemployment rate to 4.1%, may give the Federal Reserve more reason to delay any interest rate cuts in the near future. Strong Job Growth The Non-Farm Payrolls number is one of the most closely watched economic indicators in the world. It measures the number of jobs added or lost in the U.S. economy, excluding farm workers and a few other job categories. The 147,000 new jobs added in June show that hiring is still active across various sectors, especially in health care, government, and education. Even though job growth has slowed compared to the strong numbers seen in 2022 and early 2023, the current pace still reflects a healthy labor market. Employers are stil...

Airline Stocks vs Oil Prices: Tracking the Correlation Since 2008 (DAL, LUV, AAL)

The Correlation Between U.S. Airline Stocks and Crude Oil Prices (2008–2025): A Long-Term Analysis How Oil Prices Impact Airline Performance The airline industry is known for its sensitivity to fluctuations in fuel prices. With jet fuel expenses comprising a significant portion of total operating costs—often as high as 30%—any movement in crude oil prices can directly affect an airline’s bottom line. Over the past two decades, the volatility in oil markets and the evolving airline business models have added layers of complexity to this relationship. This article provides a detailed, long-term correlation analysis between three of the largest U.S. airline stocks— Delta Air Lines (DAL) , Southwest Airlines (LUV) , and American Airlines (AAL) —and WTI crude oil (USOIL) prices, using weekly data from 2008 to 2025. The goal is to uncover how these airline stocks have historically reacted to oil price fluctuations and what this could mean for future trends. Indexing the Data: Est...

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